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Retail sales grow but remain below pre-pandemic levels

Figures show the effects of reopening, with more business for restaurants, pubs and cafes, and smaller growth for online sales.

General view of Brent Cross shopping centre in London.
Picture by: Anthony Devlin/PA Archive/PA Images
Date taken: 02-Mar-2016
Image: July continued to see strong sales, although growth has started to slow
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Retail sales continued to grow in July when compared with the same month last year - although they are still below pre-pandemic levels.

Total sales in July were up 6.4% on a year ago, with online sales growing at a rate of just 0.6% compared with the 41% jump seen a year ago when coronavirus restrictions meant some bricks and mortar stores were off-limits.

The figures are somewhat skewed by the reopening of non-essential shops in April - compared to April 2020, when most were closed.

So non-food sales were up 64.9% over the three months to July, compared with the same period a year ago in the early weeks of the first national lockdown.

But on a two-year basis, which allows a comparison with pre-pandemic times, store sales remained down by 3.6%.

The figures from The British Retail Consortium (BRC) and KPMG monthly sales monitor also found:

More on Covid-19

• Food sales were up 2.9% compared with a year ago but are slowing as people head back to restaurants and cafes

• Fashion store sales are back at pre-pandemic levels

• Sales of equipment for working from home, furniture, and household appliances all fell

Helen Dickinson, chief executive of the BRC, said: "July continued to see strong sales, although growth has started to slow.

"The lifting of restrictions did not bring the anticipated in-store boost, with the wet weather leaving consumers reluctant to visit shopping destinations."

Data from Barclaycard, meanwhile, showed a growth in spending on entertainment for the first time since the pandemic began, as cinemas, theatres and sporting events have widely reopened.

Card spending grew by 11.6% in July compared with the same period in 2019, with the entertainment industry seeing a growth of 8.1% and pubs, bars, and clubs increasing sales by 30.5%.

Susan Barratt, chief executive of the Institute of Grocer Distribution, said: "Shoppers are increasingly concerned about food and grocery price inflation, with 16% of shoppers expecting that prices will get much more expensive in the year ahead, up from just 8% of shoppers in April."

Paul Martin, UK head of retail at KPMG, said he expects to see a slowdown in spending habits as economic challenges hit.

He said: "Staffing pressures, increases in commodity and component costs, rising inflation eating into households' spending power and stalling consumer confidence could lead to a slowdown in retail sector growth as we head into autumn."